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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.31+5.06vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.48+3.47vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.17+3.45vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.33+2.07vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.82-0.25vs Predicted
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6Yale University1.79-1.32vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.40-1.18vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24+1.57vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.77-1.21vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University-0.20+0.95vs Predicted
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11Fairfield University0.82-3.29vs Predicted
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12McGill University-0.01-1.41vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont-0.23-1.88vs Predicted
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14Bates College-0.50-2.32vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University-0.37-3.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.06Salve Regina University1.310.1%1st Place
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5.47Tufts University1.480.1%1st Place
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6.45Brown University1.170.1%1st Place
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6.07University of Rhode Island1.330.1%1st Place
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4.75Roger Williams University1.820.1%1st Place
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4.68Yale University1.790.1%1st Place
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5.82Tufts University1.400.1%1st Place
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9.57Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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7.79Boston University0.770.0%1st Place
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10.95Salve Regina University-0.200.0%1st Place
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7.71Fairfield University0.820.1%1st Place
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10.59McGill University-0.010.0%1st Place
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11.12University of Vermont-0.230.0%1st Place
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11.68Bates College-0.500.0%1st Place
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11.29Northeastern University-0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Lowthian | 9.7% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Courtland Doyle | 10.0% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlyn Hamilton | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Adam Strobridge | 11.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Edward Herman | 14.6% | 14.7% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Adams | 14.3% | 13.8% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brayden Benesch | 10.5% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Andy Leshaw | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 5.9% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 0.8% |
| Sean Morrison | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 14.9% | 16.6% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.1% |
| Mikhail Lavrenov | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 14.3% | 11.0% |
| Greer Page | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 15.5% | 17.4% |
| Harrison Nash | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 14.1% | 16.7% | 24.4% |
| Benjamin Wilkinson | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 16.6% | 20.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.