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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.79+3.67vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University-0.20+8.73vs Predicted
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3Boston University0.77+4.74vs Predicted
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4Bates College-0.50+7.69vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.31+1.21vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.40-0.17vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.82-2.38vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.48-2.37vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University0.82-1.38vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.33-3.88vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont-0.23-0.03vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.17-5.22vs Predicted
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13McGill University-0.01-2.44vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-4.50vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University-0.37-3.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.67Yale University1.790.2%1st Place
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10.73Salve Regina University-0.200.0%1st Place
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7.74Boston University0.770.1%1st Place
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11.69Bates College-0.500.0%1st Place
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6.21Salve Regina University1.310.1%1st Place
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5.83Tufts University1.400.1%1st Place
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4.62Roger Williams University1.820.2%1st Place
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5.63Tufts University1.480.1%1st Place
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7.62Fairfield University0.820.1%1st Place
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6.12University of Rhode Island1.330.1%1st Place
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10.97University of Vermont-0.230.0%1st Place
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6.78Brown University1.170.1%1st Place
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10.56McGill University-0.010.0%1st Place
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9.5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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11.32Northeastern University-0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Adams | 15.9% | 15.5% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sean Morrison | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 15.1% | 14.2% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Harrison Nash | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 17.2% | 25.6% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 9.0% | 11.0% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Brayden Benesch | 10.2% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Edward Herman | 15.3% | 14.9% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Courtland Doyle | 10.6% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Adam Strobridge | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Greer Page | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 12.9% | 15.5% | 17.4% |
| Kaitlyn Hamilton | 7.7% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Mikhail Lavrenov | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 11.8% |
| Andy Leshaw | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 5.6% |
| Benjamin Wilkinson | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 10.3% | 15.0% | 14.5% | 21.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.