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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.82+6.60vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.48+3.46vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.79+1.70vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.31+2.11vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.82-0.26vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.40-0.15vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.33-1.00vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.17-1.44vs Predicted
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9McGill University-0.01+1.35vs Predicted
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10Bates College-0.50+1.74vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-1.49vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University-0.20-0.86vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont-0.23-1.90vs Predicted
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14Boston University0.77-6.17vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University-0.37-3.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.6Fairfield University0.820.1%1st Place
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5.46Tufts University1.480.1%1st Place
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4.7Yale University1.790.1%1st Place
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6.11Salve Regina University1.310.1%1st Place
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4.74Roger Williams University1.820.2%1st Place
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5.85Tufts University1.400.1%1st Place
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6.0University of Rhode Island1.330.1%1st Place
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6.56Brown University1.170.1%1st Place
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10.35McGill University-0.010.0%1st Place
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11.74Bates College-0.500.0%1st Place
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9.51Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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11.14Salve Regina University-0.200.0%1st Place
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11.1University of Vermont-0.230.0%1st Place
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7.83Boston University0.770.1%1st Place
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11.31Northeastern University-0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Vitiello | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Courtland Doyle | 10.4% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alex Adams | 14.8% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Edward Herman | 15.3% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brayden Benesch | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Adam Strobridge | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Kaitlyn Hamilton | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Mikhail Lavrenov | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 9.2% |
| Harrison Nash | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 18.4% | 25.2% |
| Andy Leshaw | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% |
| Sean Morrison | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 15.3% | 15.2% | 16.2% |
| Greer Page | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 16.2% | 16.6% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Benjamin Wilkinson | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 16.8% | 21.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.