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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.79+3.72vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.33+3.91vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.82+1.56vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University0.82+3.67vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.48+0.67vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.40-0.15vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24+2.50vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University-0.37+3.36vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.31-2.97vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.77-2.04vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.17-4.37vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University-0.20-0.89vs Predicted
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13Bates College-0.50-1.17vs Predicted
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14McGill University-0.01-3.64vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont-0.23-4.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.72Yale University1.790.2%1st Place
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5.91University of Rhode Island1.330.1%1st Place
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4.56Roger Williams University1.820.2%1st Place
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7.67Fairfield University0.820.0%1st Place
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5.67Tufts University1.480.1%1st Place
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5.85Tufts University1.400.1%1st Place
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9.5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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11.36Northeastern University-0.370.0%1st Place
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6.03Salve Regina University1.310.1%1st Place
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7.96Boston University0.770.1%1st Place
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6.63Brown University1.170.1%1st Place
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11.11Salve Regina University-0.200.0%1st Place
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11.83Bates College-0.500.0%1st Place
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10.36McGill University-0.010.0%1st Place
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10.84University of Vermont-0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Adams | 16.0% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Adam Strobridge | 8.9% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Edward Herman | 16.7% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
| Courtland Doyle | 11.4% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Brayden Benesch | 9.7% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| Andy Leshaw | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 5.8% |
| Benjamin Wilkinson | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 18.2% | 19.8% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Kaitlyn Hamilton | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Sean Morrison | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 16.1% | 15.8% |
| Harrison Nash | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 13.1% | 16.9% | 27.1% |
| Mikhail Lavrenov | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 10.7% |
| Greer Page | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 14.5% | 16.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.