Race 11B

sister-esther

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Alex Adams 15.7% 16.6% 10.8% 12.0% 10.4% 8.6% 8.5% 4.7% 4.7% 2.9% 2.1% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
Adam Strobridge 9.5% 10.1% 11.1% 9.7% 9.0% 9.0% 8.9% 7.7% 8.9% 5.2% 4.9% 2.9% 2.1% 0.9% 0.1%
Bryce Vitiello 5.9% 5.7% 6.2% 7.1% 6.5% 8.9% 7.8% 7.7% 8.9% 9.8% 9.1% 7.0% 4.6% 3.7% 1.1%
Gavin Monaghan 5.1% 5.4% 6.2% 6.1% 8.4% 7.8% 6.2% 8.7% 7.8% 9.7% 8.4% 8.7% 5.2% 5.0% 1.3%
Courtland Doyle 10.7% 12.0% 9.4% 10.1% 8.6% 10.1% 9.4% 9.4% 6.3% 5.2% 4.6% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Olivia Lowthian 8.5% 9.3% 8.9% 10.2% 11.1% 8.3% 9.1% 9.7% 7.2% 7.2% 4.9% 3.0% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
Brayden Benesch 10.5% 9.5% 10.8% 10.5% 10.4% 9.4% 8.4% 7.0% 7.2% 6.3% 3.6% 3.6% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
Edward Herman 16.4% 13.9% 13.4% 11.4% 11.2% 8.5% 6.2% 7.3% 5.1% 2.7% 1.7% 1.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Andy Leshaw 3.1% 2.4% 3.1% 4.4% 3.6% 6.2% 6.6% 6.6% 7.8% 10.0% 9.6% 11.5% 11.0% 8.4% 5.7%
Emery Diemar 5.9% 6.4% 6.6% 7.9% 8.0% 7.5% 8.5% 9.5% 9.0% 8.3% 8.1% 4.9% 6.1% 2.3% 1.0%
Harrison Nash 1.4% 1.9% 2.3% 1.0% 1.5% 2.9% 3.5% 3.3% 5.6% 4.9% 7.9% 10.4% 10.0% 17.4% 26.0%
Mikhail Lavrenov 2.2% 1.6% 2.2% 2.3% 3.8% 3.5% 6.4% 5.3% 5.7% 6.9% 10.2% 11.7% 14.1% 12.7% 11.4%
Sean Morrison 1.7% 1.7% 2.9% 3.1% 2.1% 2.9% 3.4% 4.9% 4.9% 6.7% 8.3% 11.4% 13.4% 16.2% 16.4%
Benjamin Wilkinson 1.8% 1.2% 2.3% 2.3% 2.2% 2.8% 3.8% 3.6% 6.0% 6.8% 7.8% 9.7% 12.5% 17.6% 19.6%
Greer Page 1.6% 2.3% 3.8% 1.9% 3.2% 3.6% 3.3% 4.6% 4.9% 7.4% 8.8% 9.6% 14.4% 13.6% 17.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.