Race 12B

sister-esther

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Olivia Lowthian 9.5% 10.1% 9.4% 8.5% 10.5% 9.1% 9.4% 7.8% 6.7% 6.8% 4.4% 3.8% 2.2% 1.3% 0.5%
Alex Adams 13.6% 17.3% 13.3% 10.0% 11.0% 9.8% 7.5% 6.0% 4.5% 3.4% 1.8% 1.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Adam Strobridge 10.2% 10.0% 9.1% 10.6% 9.3% 8.7% 7.9% 10.0% 7.7% 6.5% 3.6% 3.7% 1.8% 0.9% 0.0%
Courtland Doyle 12.0% 10.4% 10.6% 10.5% 9.1% 9.2% 8.7% 6.4% 8.1% 5.9% 4.4% 2.7% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2%
Emery Diemar 7.0% 6.2% 7.1% 6.8% 7.1% 7.9% 8.1% 9.1% 10.2% 8.2% 7.4% 6.3% 4.8% 3.1% 0.7%
Edward Herman 14.8% 14.8% 11.7% 12.9% 12.0% 10.2% 7.4% 6.2% 3.8% 3.2% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Harrison Nash 2.2% 1.5% 2.2% 1.3% 2.9% 1.8% 3.6% 3.0% 4.5% 6.6% 7.3% 10.1% 12.0% 17.7% 23.3%
Gavin Monaghan 5.7% 4.2% 6.3% 7.8% 6.2% 5.8% 8.6% 9.2% 8.4% 8.5% 10.7% 7.8% 5.9% 2.8% 2.1%
Brayden Benesch 9.7% 9.8% 10.3% 9.9% 10.1% 10.7% 8.7% 9.0% 7.7% 5.6% 4.6% 2.2% 1.0% 0.6% 0.1%
Bryce Vitiello 4.8% 5.0% 7.1% 6.3% 6.9% 7.3% 9.1% 7.7% 9.5% 9.2% 9.3% 6.2% 6.6% 3.9% 1.1%
Andy Leshaw 3.1% 2.2% 3.5% 5.3% 4.1% 6.0% 4.4% 6.8% 7.8% 8.9% 10.1% 10.2% 11.4% 9.3% 6.9%
Benjamin Wilkinson 1.6% 1.2% 1.6% 1.6% 2.2% 3.3% 3.2% 3.7% 4.8% 6.9% 8.6% 10.3% 12.4% 17.0% 21.6%
Mikhail Lavrenov 2.3% 2.6% 2.7% 3.1% 3.2% 3.9% 4.4% 5.1% 5.7% 6.9% 8.8% 12.9% 14.5% 12.4% 11.5%
Sean Morrison 1.6% 2.0% 2.4% 2.9% 2.6% 3.5% 4.4% 6.5% 4.5% 6.9% 8.1% 10.9% 14.0% 14.8% 14.9%
Greer Page 1.9% 2.7% 2.7% 2.5% 2.8% 2.8% 4.6% 3.5% 6.1% 6.5% 9.5% 10.8% 11.1% 15.4% 17.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.