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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University0.97+6.07vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.48+3.44vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.79+1.58vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.82+0.61vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.40+0.85vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.33-0.01vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24+2.45vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.31-1.91vs Predicted
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9Bates College-0.50+2.70vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.77-2.15vs Predicted
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11Fairfield University0.82-3.32vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University-0.37-0.45vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont-0.23-1.89vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University-0.20-3.18vs Predicted
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15McGill University-0.01-4.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.07Brown University0.970.1%1st Place
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5.44Tufts University1.480.1%1st Place
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4.58Yale University1.790.1%1st Place
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4.61Roger Williams University1.820.2%1st Place
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5.85Tufts University1.400.1%1st Place
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5.99University of Rhode Island1.330.1%1st Place
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9.45Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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6.09Salve Regina University1.310.1%1st Place
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11.7Bates College-0.500.0%1st Place
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7.85Boston University0.770.1%1st Place
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7.68Fairfield University0.820.1%1st Place
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11.55Northeastern University-0.370.0%1st Place
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11.11University of Vermont-0.230.0%1st Place
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10.82Salve Regina University-0.200.0%1st Place
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10.22McGill University-0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emery Diemar | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Courtland Doyle | 9.9% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alex Adams | 14.9% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Herman | 15.9% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brayden Benesch | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Adam Strobridge | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Andy Leshaw | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 6.5% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Harrison Nash | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 14.2% | 17.0% | 23.5% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% |
| Benjamin Wilkinson | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 16.8% | 21.3% |
| Greer Page | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 15.8% | 17.4% |
| Sean Morrison | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 15.5% | 14.7% |
| Mikhail Lavrenov | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 10.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.