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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.79+3.64vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.48+3.39vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.82+1.54vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University-0.20+6.82vs Predicted
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5Brown University0.97+2.20vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University-0.37+5.34vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.33-1.03vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.40-2.18vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University0.82-1.49vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-0.43vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.31-4.88vs Predicted
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12Bates College-0.50-0.08vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.77-4.93vs Predicted
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14McGill University-0.01-3.71vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont-0.23-4.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.64Yale University1.790.2%1st Place
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5.39Tufts University1.480.1%1st Place
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4.54Roger Williams University1.820.2%1st Place
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10.82Salve Regina University-0.200.0%1st Place
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7.2Brown University0.970.1%1st Place
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11.34Northeastern University-0.370.0%1st Place
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5.97University of Rhode Island1.330.1%1st Place
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5.82Tufts University1.400.1%1st Place
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7.51Fairfield University0.820.0%1st Place
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9.57Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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6.12Salve Regina University1.310.1%1st Place
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11.92Bates College-0.500.0%1st Place
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8.07Boston University0.770.0%1st Place
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10.29McGill University-0.010.0%1st Place
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10.8University of Vermont-0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Adams | 15.9% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Courtland Doyle | 11.4% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Edward Herman | 15.6% | 14.6% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Morrison | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 17.0% | 15.5% |
| Emery Diemar | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% |
| Benjamin Wilkinson | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 16.7% | 20.6% |
| Adam Strobridge | 10.0% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Brayden Benesch | 10.3% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Andy Leshaw | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 6.5% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 8.6% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Harrison Nash | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 18.3% | 26.2% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 2.3% |
| Mikhail Lavrenov | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 10.6% |
| Greer Page | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 16.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.