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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.18+7.48vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.97+7.41vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.01+6.12vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.58+6.62vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+4.75vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.21+6.35vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.33+0.58vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.53+2.93vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.86+0.54vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.74-3.81vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.85-1.25vs Predicted
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12Columbia University2.43-0.20vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy3.74-7.05vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.98-5.23vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.71-4.81vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island1.97-2.71vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University3.28-8.94vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida2.90-8.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.48Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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9.41Boston College2.970.0%1st Place
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9.12Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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10.62Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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9.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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12.35Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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7.58Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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10.93Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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9.54University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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6.19Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.75Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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11.8Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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5.95U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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8.77Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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10.19Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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13.29University of Rhode Island1.970.0%1st Place
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8.06Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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9.22University of South Florida2.900.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% |
| Chloe Lepert | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 4.2% |
| Erica Lush | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 15.8% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% |
| Marlena Fauer | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% |
| Irene Jacqz | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 12.6% |
| Mary Hall | 11.9% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mariel Marchand | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% |
| Kaitlyn Norton | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 14.4% | 22.8% |
| Nancy Hagood | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Dominique Wright | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.