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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College1.09+1.97vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.15+3.37vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire-0.93+3.39vs Predicted
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4Bates College0.72-0.30vs Predicted
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5University of Texas1.01-1.74vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University-0.79+0.32vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-0.82-0.66vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.10-5.08vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-1.83-1.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.97Connecticut College1.0923.1%1st Place
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5.37Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.156.2%1st Place
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6.39University of New Hampshire-0.932.5%1st Place
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3.7Bates College0.7215.0%1st Place
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3.26University of Texas1.0120.2%1st Place
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6.32Salve Regina University-0.793.3%1st Place
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6.34University of New Hampshire-0.823.9%1st Place
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2.92University of Rhode Island1.1024.4%1st Place
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7.74University of New Hampshire-1.831.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Craine | 23.1% | 22.8% | 19.4% | 15.7% | 10.6% | 6.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| John Divelbiss | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 16.2% | 18.9% | 17.2% | 11.8% | 4.8% |
| Lucas Wiatrowski | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 10.6% | 16.4% | 20.3% | 19.0% | 15.9% |
| Jett Lindelof | 15.0% | 16.2% | 17.7% | 16.8% | 15.2% | 10.6% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Matias Martin | 20.2% | 18.8% | 18.8% | 17.9% | 12.4% | 7.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Sean Morrison | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 14.5% | 20.0% | 22.9% | 12.8% |
| Jake Lacoche | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 10.7% | 14.5% | 17.9% | 22.4% | 14.9% |
| Sam Ingalls | 24.4% | 22.7% | 18.6% | 16.1% | 10.1% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cameron McLean | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 11.8% | 19.4% | 50.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.