Race 1A

stony-brook-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
James Owen 24.9% 21.1% 17.1% 14.7% 11.3% 6.4% 4.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Calvin Marsh 14.7% 18.8% 15.7% 16.0% 15.3% 10.5% 6.7% 2.0% 0.3%
Elizabeth Frost 20.8% 18.6% 19.1% 13.2% 12.8% 9.9% 4.5% 1.1% 0.0%
Robert Finora 11.9% 13.0% 12.6% 15.7% 13.5% 16.6% 11.7% 4.6% 0.4%
Tucker Ballou 5.6% 7.5% 10.2% 10.7% 11.9% 14.0% 20.8% 15.7% 3.6%
Alan Becker 13.4% 13.0% 15.3% 16.2% 16.9% 13.4% 8.0% 3.6% 0.2%
Rose von Eckartsberg 5.5% 4.6% 6.5% 9.1% 11.8% 18.5% 23.7% 17.2% 3.1%
Sarra Salah 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 1.0% 1.5% 1.9% 4.2% 12.4% 77.0%
Alexandra Leen 2.6% 2.7% 2.8% 3.4% 5.0% 8.8% 16.3% 43.0% 15.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.