Race 2A

stony-brook-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
James Owen 24.5% 21.0% 19.4% 14.2% 10.6% 6.7% 3.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Robert Finora 7.9% 9.9% 13.5% 15.3% 17.2% 15.9% 13.8% 6.1% 0.4%
Rose von Eckartsberg 4.6% 5.6% 6.0% 10.9% 11.7% 17.7% 23.3% 16.6% 3.6%
Calvin Marsh 18.3% 18.1% 18.2% 15.1% 13.6% 9.3% 6.2% 1.1% 0.1%
Alan Becker 15.3% 15.0% 15.2% 15.0% 14.6% 11.9% 7.9% 4.5% 0.6%
Elizabeth Frost 20.0% 21.5% 16.7% 16.3% 12.5% 8.4% 3.5% 1.1% 0.0%
Alexandra Leen 2.4% 2.1% 3.1% 2.6% 5.9% 9.6% 16.6% 41.8% 15.9%
Tucker Ballou 6.5% 5.8% 7.0% 9.5% 13.0% 18.1% 20.8% 16.6% 2.7%
Sarra Salah 0.5% 1.0% 0.9% 1.1% 0.9% 2.4% 4.8% 11.7% 76.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.