Race 3A

stony-brook-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Alan Becker 14.5% 13.3% 14.0% 15.2% 16.5% 12.8% 9.9% 3.6% 0.2%
Elizabeth Frost 17.0% 20.1% 16.8% 18.5% 12.4% 8.9% 4.4% 1.9% 0.0%
James Owen 25.0% 20.9% 17.8% 13.7% 13.1% 6.0% 2.9% 0.4% 0.2%
Calvin Marsh 19.8% 16.2% 18.8% 14.0% 14.7% 9.5% 5.3% 1.5% 0.2%
Tucker Ballou 5.3% 8.2% 9.0% 11.2% 10.8% 17.2% 19.4% 15.9% 3.0%
Robert Finora 10.4% 12.5% 13.6% 13.8% 15.3% 16.9% 12.7% 4.5% 0.3%
Rose von Eckartsberg 5.3% 5.0% 6.6% 8.6% 11.0% 17.8% 25.3% 16.9% 3.5%
Alexandra Leen 2.4% 2.7% 2.5% 4.1% 5.3% 8.5% 15.9% 44.2% 14.4%
Sarra Salah 0.3% 1.1% 0.9% 0.9% 0.9% 2.4% 4.2% 11.1% 78.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.