Race 5A

stony-brook-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Calvin Marsh 18.2% 16.4% 18.2% 15.6% 13.7% 10.8% 4.9% 2.2% 0.0%
James Owen 21.1% 22.2% 18.4% 15.0% 11.4% 7.3% 3.9% 0.6% 0.1%
Alan Becker 12.4% 14.3% 13.9% 17.5% 15.3% 13.1% 9.4% 3.7% 0.4%
Alexandra Leen 1.7% 3.7% 2.1% 4.7% 7.3% 8.1% 17.3% 41.0% 14.1%
Robert Finora 12.1% 12.4% 14.5% 12.0% 15.4% 15.2% 10.9% 6.4% 1.1%
Elizabeth Frost 22.0% 18.3% 18.5% 15.1% 13.1% 8.4% 3.4% 1.2% 0.0%
Tucker Ballou 6.1% 5.6% 7.3% 10.4% 11.1% 16.9% 25.3% 14.7% 2.6%
Rose von Eckartsberg 5.8% 6.3% 6.0% 9.1% 11.6% 17.8% 20.4% 18.8% 4.2%
Sarra Salah 0.6% 0.8% 1.1% 0.6% 1.1% 2.4% 4.5% 11.4% 77.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.