Race 6A

stony-brook-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Calvin Marsh 18.5% 15.9% 17.8% 16.1% 13.8% 10.5% 5.0% 2.4% 0.0%
James Owen 20.4% 23.1% 17.4% 15.4% 12.1% 6.5% 4.0% 1.0% 0.1%
Tucker Ballou 6.0% 5.0% 7.4% 10.4% 11.6% 17.2% 23.3% 16.3% 2.8%
Alan Becker 14.5% 14.1% 15.4% 16.1% 14.9% 13.4% 8.7% 2.5% 0.4%
Rose von Eckartsberg 5.5% 7.4% 7.8% 9.2% 12.9% 14.3% 23.1% 15.9% 3.9%
Elizabeth Frost 20.6% 19.5% 18.4% 15.2% 13.5% 8.6% 3.3% 0.9% 0.0%
Alexandra Leen 2.2% 2.3% 3.0% 3.3% 5.1% 9.5% 17.2% 42.1% 15.3%
Robert Finora 11.9% 12.0% 11.6% 13.4% 15.4% 17.6% 11.7% 5.6% 0.8%
Sarra Salah 0.4% 0.7% 1.2% 0.9% 0.7% 2.4% 3.7% 13.3% 76.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.