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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University0.45+1.13vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook-2.11+4.23vs Predicted
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3Fordham University0.01-0.31vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-1.42+0.82vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-1.03-0.84vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.42-1.09vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.13-2.58vs Predicted
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8Hamilton College-3.05-0.66vs Predicted
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9U. S. Military Academy-4.01-0.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.13Columbia University0.450.4%1st Place
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6.23SUNY Stony Brook-2.110.0%1st Place
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2.69Fordham University0.010.3%1st Place
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4.82Syracuse University-1.420.1%1st Place
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4.16SUNY Stony Brook-1.030.1%1st Place
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4.91U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.420.1%1st Place
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4.42U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.130.1%1st Place
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7.34Hamilton College-3.050.0%1st Place
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8.3U. S. Military Academy-4.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva DeCastro | 40.1% | 29.2% | 16.6% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Dimont | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 16.2% | 26.8% | 20.9% | 6.4% |
| Robert Upton | 25.9% | 25.1% | 21.8% | 13.4% | 9.7% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Collin Ross | 6.6% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 15.9% | 16.7% | 19.9% | 15.3% | 5.7% | 0.8% |
| Ernest Glukhov | 9.0% | 15.1% | 16.7% | 15.6% | 15.5% | 14.3% | 9.4% | 4.0% | 0.4% |
| Matthew McCarvill | 5.9% | 7.1% | 11.6% | 15.3% | 17.9% | 18.1% | 16.8% | 6.1% | 1.2% |
| Griffin Jones | 8.0% | 10.4% | 14.7% | 17.8% | 16.8% | 17.4% | 10.7% | 3.7% | 0.5% |
| Reid Chapman | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 14.5% | 39.6% | 24.2% |
| Matthew Knutson | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 5.1% | 19.9% | 66.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.