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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University0.45+1.10vs Predicted
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2Fordham University0.01+0.77vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-1.03+1.30vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-1.42+0.84vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-2.11+0.92vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.42-1.13vs Predicted
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7Hamilton College-3.05+0.38vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.13-3.54vs Predicted
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9U. S. Military Academy-4.01-0.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.1Columbia University0.450.4%1st Place
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2.77Fordham University0.010.2%1st Place
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4.3SUNY Stony Brook-1.030.1%1st Place
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4.84Syracuse University-1.420.1%1st Place
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5.92SUNY Stony Brook-2.110.0%1st Place
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4.87U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.420.1%1st Place
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7.38Hamilton College-3.050.0%1st Place
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4.46U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.130.1%1st Place
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8.34U. S. Military Academy-4.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva DeCastro | 41.2% | 28.3% | 16.7% | 8.7% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Upton | 23.9% | 27.3% | 20.3% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ernest Glukhov | 8.3% | 11.6% | 15.4% | 18.2% | 17.4% | 15.0% | 10.6% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Collin Ross | 6.7% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 16.6% | 16.4% | 18.1% | 16.1% | 6.0% | 1.2% |
| Sophia Dimont | 3.2% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 24.6% | 18.0% | 6.3% |
| Matthew McCarvill | 6.5% | 7.2% | 11.2% | 15.1% | 17.4% | 20.3% | 15.5% | 6.0% | 0.8% |
| Reid Chapman | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 15.0% | 43.5% | 22.1% |
| Griffin Jones | 8.9% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 15.4% | 16.4% | 17.6% | 11.4% | 4.7% | 0.8% |
| Matthew Knutson | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 18.4% | 68.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.