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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University0.45+1.15vs Predicted
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2Fordham University0.01+0.78vs Predicted
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3Hamilton College-3.05+4.40vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-2.11+1.94vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-1.03-0.83vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.13-1.63vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-1.42-2.05vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.42-3.07vs Predicted
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9U. S. Military Academy-4.01-0.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.15Columbia University0.450.4%1st Place
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2.78Fordham University0.010.2%1st Place
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7.4Hamilton College-3.050.0%1st Place
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5.94SUNY Stony Brook-2.110.0%1st Place
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4.17SUNY Stony Brook-1.030.1%1st Place
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4.37U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.130.1%1st Place
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4.95Syracuse University-1.420.1%1st Place
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4.93U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.420.1%1st Place
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8.32U. S. Military Academy-4.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva DeCastro | 40.5% | 27.1% | 18.1% | 8.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Upton | 23.3% | 27.0% | 20.6% | 15.0% | 8.3% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Reid Chapman | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 13.3% | 41.1% | 24.8% |
| Sophia Dimont | 2.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 17.1% | 25.1% | 18.6% | 4.2% |
| Ernest Glukhov | 9.8% | 14.0% | 16.5% | 14.6% | 17.8% | 13.6% | 9.0% | 4.1% | 0.6% |
| Griffin Jones | 8.6% | 10.4% | 14.8% | 17.1% | 17.9% | 16.6% | 11.5% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Collin Ross | 6.8% | 6.5% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 17.3% | 18.2% | 17.5% | 7.3% | 0.9% |
| Matthew McCarvill | 6.7% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 14.7% | 17.6% | 17.3% | 16.3% | 7.7% | 1.4% |
| Matthew Knutson | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 18.2% | 67.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.