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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University0.01+1.53vs Predicted
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2Columbia University0.45+0.10vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-1.03+1.02vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.13+0.06vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-3.37+2.42vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.42-1.42vs Predicted
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7U. S. Military Academy-3.29+0.49vs Predicted
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8Hamilton College-3.05-0.88vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook-2.11-3.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.53Fordham University0.010.3%1st Place
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2.1Columbia University0.450.4%1st Place
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4.02SUNY Stony Brook-1.030.1%1st Place
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4.06U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.130.1%1st Place
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7.42Syracuse University-3.370.0%1st Place
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4.58U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.420.1%1st Place
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7.49U. S. Military Academy-3.290.0%1st Place
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7.12Hamilton College-3.050.0%1st Place
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5.66SUNY Stony Brook-2.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Upton | 28.9% | 25.6% | 23.2% | 11.7% | 7.3% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva DeCastro | 37.8% | 31.6% | 18.2% | 8.0% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ernest Glukhov | 9.6% | 12.8% | 15.8% | 22.0% | 17.5% | 14.0% | 6.5% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Jones | 9.7% | 12.9% | 16.3% | 18.7% | 20.0% | 13.0% | 7.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Heath Megnin | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 9.6% | 16.6% | 25.3% | 34.9% |
| Matthew McCarvill | 7.0% | 7.3% | 13.1% | 17.9% | 22.3% | 17.8% | 10.3% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Gabriel Kunze | 1.0% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 8.8% | 16.2% | 27.9% | 35.2% |
| Reid Chapman | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 11.2% | 21.4% | 26.9% | 24.5% |
| Sophia Dimont | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 10.1% | 14.6% | 22.0% | 21.5% | 12.8% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.