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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.58+9.96vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.33+5.79vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.74+3.16vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+5.72vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.98+4.03vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.85+3.65vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.74-1.00vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.71+2.18vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.97+0.06vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.18-1.51vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University3.28-3.02vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.01-2.66vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.97+0.10vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.53-3.28vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida2.90-5.62vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.86-6.30vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.21-4.54vs Predicted
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18Columbia University2.43-6.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.96Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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7.79Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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6.16U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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9.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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9.03Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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9.65Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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6.0Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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10.18Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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9.06Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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8.49Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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7.98Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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9.34Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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13.1University of Rhode Island1.970.0%1st Place
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10.72Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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9.38University of South Florida2.900.1%1st Place
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9.7University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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12.46Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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11.27Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 4.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 8.1% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Mary Hall | 10.7% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Lepert | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% |
| Mariel Marchand | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% |
| Marlena Fauer | 11.3% | 13.4% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Nancy Hagood | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.3% |
| Kaitlyn Norton | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 24.2% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% |
| Dominique Wright | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% |
| Erica Lush | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 16.9% |
| Irene Jacqz | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 10.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.