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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.10+1.96vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.09+1.01vs Predicted
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3University of Texas1.01+0.23vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.15+1.46vs Predicted
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5Bates College0.72-1.41vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.93+0.34vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University-0.79-0.75vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-0.82-1.58vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-1.83-1.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.96University of Rhode Island1.1024.3%1st Place
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3.01Connecticut College1.0921.9%1st Place
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3.23University of Texas1.0121.1%1st Place
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5.46Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.155.3%1st Place
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3.59Bates College0.7216.2%1st Place
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6.34University of New Hampshire-0.933.5%1st Place
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6.25Salve Regina University-0.793.9%1st Place
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6.42University of New Hampshire-0.822.5%1st Place
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7.74University of New Hampshire-1.831.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Ingalls | 24.3% | 21.4% | 19.7% | 14.8% | 11.3% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Duncan Craine | 21.9% | 21.9% | 21.2% | 15.2% | 10.6% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Matias Martin | 21.1% | 18.2% | 18.1% | 17.8% | 13.2% | 7.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| John Divelbiss | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 14.6% | 18.1% | 17.5% | 13.3% | 5.5% |
| Jett Lindelof | 16.2% | 17.4% | 16.6% | 17.4% | 14.8% | 10.8% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Lucas Wiatrowski | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 14.0% | 19.1% | 21.4% | 15.2% |
| Sean Morrison | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 11.2% | 15.7% | 19.6% | 21.1% | 12.8% |
| Jake Lacoche | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 10.5% | 14.3% | 20.6% | 22.4% | 14.5% |
| Cameron McLean | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 18.5% | 51.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.