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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University0.45+1.03vs Predicted
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2Fordham University0.01+0.61vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-1.03+1.03vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.13+0.07vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.42-0.53vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-2.11-0.30vs Predicted
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7U. S. Military Academy-3.29+0.47vs Predicted
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8Hamilton College-3.05-0.90vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University-3.37-1.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.03Columbia University0.450.4%1st Place
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2.61Fordham University0.010.3%1st Place
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4.03SUNY Stony Brook-1.030.1%1st Place
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4.07U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.130.1%1st Place
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4.47U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.420.1%1st Place
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5.7SUNY Stony Brook-2.110.0%1st Place
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7.47U. S. Military Academy-3.290.0%1st Place
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7.1Hamilton College-3.050.0%1st Place
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7.51Syracuse University-3.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva DeCastro | 42.8% | 28.2% | 16.7% | 8.4% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Upton | 26.1% | 28.2% | 21.3% | 12.2% | 8.2% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ernest Glukhov | 8.3% | 13.1% | 17.5% | 19.4% | 20.7% | 14.2% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Griffin Jones | 8.7% | 12.9% | 15.3% | 22.4% | 18.2% | 13.7% | 6.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Matthew McCarvill | 7.0% | 9.7% | 15.4% | 17.9% | 18.9% | 16.5% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 1.2% |
| Sophia Dimont | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 10.9% | 15.3% | 23.0% | 21.2% | 12.7% | 3.6% |
| Gabriel Kunze | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 4.9% | 9.6% | 16.4% | 28.9% | 33.2% |
| Reid Chapman | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 10.5% | 24.9% | 24.2% | 24.5% |
| Heath Megnin | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 8.8% | 16.1% | 26.0% | 36.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.