← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Columbia University0.45+1.05vs Predicted
-
2Fordham University0.01+0.60vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.42+1.65vs Predicted
-
4SUNY Stony Brook-1.03-0.10vs Predicted
-
5SUNY Stony Brook-2.11+0.60vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.13-1.87vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Military Academy-3.29+0.48vs Predicted
-
8Syracuse University-3.37-0.49vs Predicted
-
9Hamilton College-3.05-1.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.05Columbia University0.450.4%1st Place
-
2.6Fordham University0.010.3%1st Place
-
4.65U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.420.1%1st Place
-
3.9SUNY Stony Brook-1.030.1%1st Place
-
5.6SUNY Stony Brook-2.110.0%1st Place
-
4.13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.130.1%1st Place
-
7.48U. S. Military Academy-3.290.0%1st Place
-
7.51Syracuse University-3.370.0%1st Place
-
7.09Hamilton College-3.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva DeCastro | 42.6% | 28.1% | 17.2% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Upton | 25.3% | 29.1% | 21.1% | 13.7% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew McCarvill | 6.0% | 8.7% | 13.2% | 15.9% | 20.0% | 19.6% | 12.5% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Ernest Glukhov | 9.9% | 14.2% | 17.9% | 20.0% | 18.6% | 12.9% | 5.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Sophia Dimont | 3.0% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 16.0% | 20.1% | 18.5% | 12.7% | 4.9% |
| Griffin Jones | 9.5% | 10.3% | 16.2% | 19.9% | 20.8% | 15.1% | 6.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Gabriel Kunze | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 8.6% | 17.6% | 28.9% | 33.0% |
| Heath Megnin | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 8.3% | 16.8% | 25.0% | 37.7% |
| Reid Chapman | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 11.5% | 22.3% | 27.2% | 23.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.