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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.06+5.37vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.39+0.98vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.01+3.55vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.03+2.55vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.92-0.86vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.84+1.15vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-0.82vs Predicted
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8Tulane University1.57-0.01vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53+2.08vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.26-0.96vs Predicted
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11Princeton University-0.09+1.57vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii1.09-2.25vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy-0.11-0.26vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.86-6.99vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.92-5.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.37Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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2.98Stanford University3.390.3%1st Place
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6.55Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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6.55Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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4.14Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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7.15University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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6.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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7.99Tulane University1.570.0%1st Place
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11.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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9.04George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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12.57Princeton University-0.090.0%1st Place
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9.75University of Hawaii1.090.0%1st Place
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12.74Maine Maritime Academy-0.110.0%1st Place
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7.01University of South Florida1.860.1%1st Place
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9.91Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Meagher | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 29.3% | 21.6% | 16.9% | 13.2% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.0% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Emma Cowles | 16.1% | 16.7% | 14.0% | 14.7% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Spearman | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
| Caroline Odell | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 14.8% | 17.2% | 12.3% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 3.3% |
| Carly Mraz | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 12.1% | 19.7% | 36.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 3.8% |
| Jane Marvin | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 22.3% | 35.9% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 15.4% | 10.0% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.