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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.03+5.46vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.92+1.96vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+3.16vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.01+2.60vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.26+3.99vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-0.09+6.56vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.06-0.58vs Predicted
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8Tulane University1.57+0.04vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy-0.11+3.67vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.84-2.77vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii1.09-1.49vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.39-8.82vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53-1.79vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.86-6.92vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.92-5.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.46Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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3.96Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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6.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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6.6Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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8.99George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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12.56Princeton University-0.090.0%1st Place
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6.42Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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8.04Tulane University1.570.0%1st Place
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12.67Maine Maritime Academy-0.110.0%1st Place
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7.23University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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9.51University of Hawaii1.090.0%1st Place
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3.18Stanford University3.390.2%1st Place
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11.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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7.08University of South Florida1.860.1%1st Place
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9.92Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Ermlich | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Emma Cowles | 19.2% | 16.4% | 15.3% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 5.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Avery Canavan | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 2.3% |
| Carly Mraz | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 22.0% | 35.1% |
| Lucy Meagher | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Spearman | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.0% |
| Jane Marvin | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 13.7% | 21.9% | 34.2% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 4.8% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 25.0% | 21.7% | 16.3% | 13.5% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Odell | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 15.5% | 18.4% | 14.2% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 5.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.