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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.01+5.44vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.03+4.42vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.09+6.39vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.39-0.91vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.06+1.55vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.92-1.92vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.84+0.07vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.86-0.90vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.26-0.10vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College0.92+0.07vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy-0.11+1.61vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-5.54vs Predicted
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13Tulane University1.57-4.74vs Predicted
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14Princeton University-0.09-1.47vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53-3.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.44Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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6.42Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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9.39University of Hawaii1.090.0%1st Place
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3.09Stanford University3.390.3%1st Place
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6.55Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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4.08Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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7.07University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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7.1University of South Florida1.860.1%1st Place
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8.9George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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10.07Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
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12.61Maine Maritime Academy-0.110.0%1st Place
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6.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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8.26Tulane University1.570.0%1st Place
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12.53Princeton University-0.090.0%1st Place
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11.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine McNamara | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.4% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 4.1% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 27.9% | 20.9% | 16.6% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Emma Cowles | 16.8% | 15.7% | 17.1% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 6.3% | 2.0% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 14.9% | 9.8% | 7.1% |
| Jane Marvin | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 20.6% | 36.7% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Spearman | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| Carly Mraz | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 21.1% | 33.9% |
| Caroline Odell | 1.6% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 15.1% | 19.8% | 12.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.