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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+2.07vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.03+4.39vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.92+1.03vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.26+4.97vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+1.32vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.84+1.16vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.01-0.50vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii1.09+1.48vs Predicted
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9Tulane University1.57-1.14vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.06-3.44vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53+0.07vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy-0.11+0.81vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.86-5.65vs Predicted
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14Princeton University-0.09-1.46vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.92-5.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.07Stanford University3.390.3%1st Place
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6.39Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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4.03Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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8.97George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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6.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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7.16University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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6.5Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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9.48University of Hawaii1.090.0%1st Place
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7.86Tulane University1.570.0%1st Place
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6.56Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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11.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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12.81Maine Maritime Academy-0.110.0%1st Place
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7.35University of South Florida1.860.1%1st Place
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12.54Princeton University-0.090.0%1st Place
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9.9Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 29.0% | 23.0% | 15.0% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.2% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Emma Cowles | 17.3% | 15.7% | 16.8% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Avery Canavan | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 2.8% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Katherine McNamara | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 8.5% | 4.2% |
| Lucy Spearman | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Caroline Odell | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 15.4% | 17.2% | 13.8% |
| Jane Marvin | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 21.7% | 37.5% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Carly Mraz | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 11.9% | 21.7% | 33.0% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 14.6% | 11.6% | 5.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.