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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+2.04vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+4.05vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.01+3.50vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.06+2.45vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.92-0.90vs Predicted
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6Tulane University1.39+2.56vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.86-0.01vs Predicted
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8Maine Maritime Academy-0.11+4.56vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.84-2.00vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College0.92+0.02vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii1.09-1.53vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.03-5.30vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53-1.82vs Predicted
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14George Washington University1.26-5.10vs Predicted
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15Princeton University-0.09-2.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.04Stanford University3.390.3%1st Place
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6.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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6.5Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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6.45Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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4.1Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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8.56Tulane University1.390.0%1st Place
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6.99University of South Florida1.860.1%1st Place
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12.56Maine Maritime Academy-0.110.0%1st Place
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7.0University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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10.02Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
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9.47University of Hawaii1.090.0%1st Place
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6.7Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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11.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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8.9George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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12.49Princeton University-0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 30.0% | 23.3% | 14.5% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 7.3% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Katherine McNamara | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Lucy Meagher | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Emma Cowles | 17.1% | 16.8% | 14.5% | 14.1% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oakley Cunningham | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 1.4% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Jane Marvin | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 20.4% | 35.6% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 16.1% | 11.1% | 5.6% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 5.3% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.5% | 5.9% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Odell | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 19.7% | 13.5% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 2.8% |
| Carly Mraz | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 12.7% | 20.9% | 33.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.