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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.58+10.00vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.74+4.15vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.33+4.86vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+5.68vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.74+1.03vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.90+3.44vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.85+2.63vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.01+0.84vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.97+0.07vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.28-1.94vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.21+1.44vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.18-3.41vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.98-4.02vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.86-4.73vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.71-4.78vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.53-4.92vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island1.97-3.63vs Predicted
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18Columbia University2.43-6.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.0Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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6.15Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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7.86Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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9.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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6.03U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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9.44University of South Florida2.900.1%1st Place
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9.63Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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8.84Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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9.07Boston College2.970.0%1st Place
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8.06Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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12.44Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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8.59Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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8.98Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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9.27University of Vermont2.860.1%1st Place
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10.22Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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11.08Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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13.37University of Rhode Island1.970.0%1st Place
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11.29Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 8.3% |
| Marlena Fauer | 9.7% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% |
| Chloe Lepert | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% |
| Mary Hall | 12.3% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Dominique Wright | 5.5% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.3% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% |
| Nancy Hagood | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Erica Lush | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 17.2% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Mariel Marchand | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.7% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.2% |
| Annie Schmidt | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.0% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.5% |
| Kaitlyn Norton | 2.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 14.7% | 24.9% |
| Irene Jacqz | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.