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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Texas1.01+2.22vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.09+0.98vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.10-0.05vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.15+1.44vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.82+1.44vs Predicted
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6Bates College0.72-2.42vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University-0.79-0.85vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-0.93-1.50vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-1.83-1.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.22University of Texas1.0120.2%1st Place
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2.98Connecticut College1.0923.8%1st Place
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2.95University of Rhode Island1.1023.4%1st Place
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5.44Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.155.4%1st Place
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6.44University of New Hampshire-0.822.9%1st Place
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3.58Bates College0.7215.8%1st Place
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6.15Salve Regina University-0.794.2%1st Place
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6.5University of New Hampshire-0.932.5%1st Place
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7.75University of New Hampshire-1.831.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matias Martin | 20.2% | 19.2% | 18.6% | 18.6% | 12.3% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Duncan Craine | 23.8% | 21.2% | 18.9% | 16.2% | 11.7% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sam Ingalls | 23.4% | 22.0% | 20.9% | 15.7% | 9.8% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| John Divelbiss | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 18.6% | 18.6% | 12.9% | 4.8% |
| Jake Lacoche | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 10.4% | 14.6% | 20.5% | 22.1% | 14.9% |
| Jett Lindelof | 15.8% | 17.9% | 17.1% | 16.5% | 16.1% | 10.1% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Sean Morrison | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 12.4% | 15.9% | 18.8% | 19.9% | 12.3% |
| Lucas Wiatrowski | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 15.2% | 20.0% | 23.6% | 14.8% |
| Cameron McLean | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 18.1% | 52.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.