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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.09+8.30vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+4.06vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.01+3.47vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.06+2.46vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.39-1.90vs Predicted
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6Tulane University1.39+2.50vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.92-2.95vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.03-1.51vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.86-2.01vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College0.92+0.01vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.84-3.83vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.26-2.78vs Predicted
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13Princeton University-0.09-0.36vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy-0.11-1.45vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53-4.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.3University of Hawaii1.090.0%1st Place
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6.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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6.47Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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6.46Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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3.1Stanford University3.390.3%1st Place
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8.5Tulane University1.390.0%1st Place
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4.05Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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6.49Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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6.99University of South Florida1.860.1%1st Place
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10.01Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
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7.17University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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9.22George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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12.64Princeton University-0.090.0%1st Place
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12.55Maine Maritime Academy-0.110.0%1st Place
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10.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivian Bonsager | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 4.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 7.7% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Katherine McNamara | 6.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Meagher | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 28.2% | 20.0% | 16.6% | 13.3% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oakley Cunningham | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 2.4% |
| Emma Cowles | 16.9% | 18.7% | 13.0% | 14.7% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 14.0% | 12.5% | 5.7% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Avery Canavan | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 6.9% | 2.5% |
| Carly Mraz | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 22.2% | 35.9% |
| Jane Marvin | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 20.5% | 33.8% |
| Caroline Odell | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 15.1% | 16.5% | 14.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.