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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.09+8.07vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.06+4.06vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.03+3.24vs Predicted
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4Tulane University1.39+4.18vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.39-2.03vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.92-2.14vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.01-0.73vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.26+0.71vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.92+0.64vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-3.90vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53-0.21vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.84-4.93vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida0.77-2.68vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy-0.11-1.61vs Predicted
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15Princeton University-0.09-2.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.07University of Hawaii1.090.0%1st Place
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6.06Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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6.24Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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8.18Tulane University1.390.0%1st Place
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2.97Stanford University3.390.3%1st Place
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3.86Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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6.27Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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8.71George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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9.64Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
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6.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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10.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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7.07University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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10.32University of South Florida0.770.0%1st Place
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12.39Maine Maritime Academy-0.110.0%1st Place
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12.33Princeton University-0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivian Bonsager | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 4.6% |
| Lucy Meagher | 7.0% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Eva Ermlich | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Oakley Cunningham | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 1.6% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 29.9% | 21.2% | 16.9% | 11.7% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 18.1% | 16.6% | 18.2% | 13.2% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Avery Canavan | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 1.9% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 4.5% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 7.1% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Odell | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 16.0% | 12.4% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Heidi Hicks | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 8.6% |
| Jane Marvin | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 21.5% | 31.5% |
| Carly Mraz | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 11.6% | 18.6% | 33.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.