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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University0.71+8.24vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.57+7.65vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.22+4.72vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.58-0.07vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.32+2.61vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.52+0.91vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.50-0.08vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.75-4.38vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii0.90-0.16vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.63-6.08vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-3.52vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy0.52-1.72vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.54-2.81vs Predicted
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14Princeton University-0.78-0.78vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.36-4.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.24Tulane University0.710.0%1st Place
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9.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.570.0%1st Place
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7.72George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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3.93Stanford University2.580.2%1st Place
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7.61University of South Florida1.320.1%1st Place
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6.91Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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6.92Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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3.62Yale University2.750.2%1st Place
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8.84University of Hawaii0.900.0%1st Place
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3.92Brown University2.630.2%1st Place
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7.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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10.28Maine Maritime Academy0.520.0%1st Place
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10.19University of Rhode Island0.540.0%1st Place
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13.22Princeton University-0.780.0%1st Place
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10.45Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mira Herlihy | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 5.5% |
| Ella Demand | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 6.8% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 5.6% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Sophie Fisher | 18.4% | 18.1% | 14.1% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kalea Woodard | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Tavia Smith | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Carmen Cowles | 21.3% | 19.5% | 15.4% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Martha Schuessler | 3.0% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 3.0% |
| Laura Hamilton | 17.1% | 18.1% | 15.4% | 14.1% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Barry | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 1.3% |
| Ella Beauregard | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 7.2% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 7.8% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 12.6% | 54.2% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 17.1% | 10.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.