← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University2.58+2.92vs Predicted
-
2Northeastern University1.52+4.72vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34+4.38vs Predicted
-
4Yale University2.75-0.44vs Predicted
-
5Connecticut College0.36+5.46vs Predicted
-
6University of South Florida1.32+1.48vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.57+2.80vs Predicted
-
8George Washington University1.22-0.14vs Predicted
-
9Princeton University-0.78+4.27vs Predicted
-
10Tulane University0.71-0.52vs Predicted
-
11Roger Williams University1.50-4.04vs Predicted
-
12University of Rhode Island0.54-1.74vs Predicted
-
13Brown University2.63-9.03vs Predicted
-
14Maine Maritime Academy0.52-3.96vs Predicted
-
15University of Hawaii0.90-6.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.92Stanford University2.580.2%1st Place
-
6.72Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
-
7.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.1%1st Place
-
3.56Yale University2.750.2%1st Place
-
10.46Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
-
7.48University of South Florida1.320.1%1st Place
-
9.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.570.0%1st Place
-
7.86George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
-
13.27Princeton University-0.780.0%1st Place
-
9.48Tulane University0.710.0%1st Place
-
6.96Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
-
10.26University of Rhode Island0.540.0%1st Place
-
3.97Brown University2.630.2%1st Place
-
10.04Maine Maritime Academy0.520.0%1st Place
-
8.83University of Hawaii0.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Fisher | 17.7% | 18.0% | 16.4% | 13.7% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Brooke Barry | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Carmen Cowles | 23.0% | 19.0% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 14.5% | 14.4% | 11.0% |
| Kalea Woodard | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Ella Demand | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 7.2% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 15.2% | 53.8% |
| Mira Herlihy | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 5.1% |
| Tavia Smith | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 8.7% |
| Laura Hamilton | 17.3% | 16.4% | 16.4% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ella Beauregard | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 7.3% |
| Martha Schuessler | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.