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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.75+2.58vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.63+1.71vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.22+4.72vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.52+2.89vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.50+2.01vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy0.52+4.12vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii0.90+1.81vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-0.55vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.58-5.13vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.57-0.06vs Predicted
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11Tulane University0.71-1.56vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.36-1.24vs Predicted
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13Princeton University-0.78+0.32vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.32-6.52vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island0.54-5.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.58Yale University2.750.2%1st Place
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3.71Brown University2.630.2%1st Place
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7.72George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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6.89Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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7.01Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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10.12Maine Maritime Academy0.520.0%1st Place
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8.81University of Hawaii0.900.0%1st Place
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7.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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3.87Stanford University2.580.2%1st Place
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9.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.570.0%1st Place
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9.44Tulane University0.710.0%1st Place
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10.76Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
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13.32Princeton University-0.780.0%1st Place
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7.48University of South Florida1.320.1%1st Place
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9.89University of Rhode Island0.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 21.5% | 19.8% | 14.9% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Hamilton | 20.6% | 17.9% | 15.9% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Tavia Smith | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Ella Beauregard | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 7.1% |
| Martha Schuessler | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 2.9% |
| Brooke Barry | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Sophie Fisher | 16.9% | 16.7% | 18.2% | 14.0% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ella Demand | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 7.2% |
| Mira Herlihy | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 5.0% |
| Lilly Saffer | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 15.2% | 15.4% | 11.3% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 13.0% | 56.7% |
| Kalea Woodard | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 14.3% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.