← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
13.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University2.75+2.54vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University1.50+4.74vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34+4.33vs Predicted
-
4Maine Maritime Academy0.52+5.97vs Predicted
-
5George Washington University1.22+2.84vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.57+3.95vs Predicted
-
7University of Rhode Island0.54+2.88vs Predicted
-
8Stanford University2.58-4.02vs Predicted
-
9Brown University2.63-5.25vs Predicted
-
10Northeastern University1.52-3.00vs Predicted
-
11University of South Florida1.32-3.42vs Predicted
-
12Connecticut College0.36-1.24vs Predicted
-
13Tulane University0.71-3.33vs Predicted
-
14Princeton University-0.78-0.81vs Predicted
-
15University of Hawaii0.90-6.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.54Yale University2.750.2%1st Place
-
6.74Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
-
7.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.1%1st Place
-
9.97Maine Maritime Academy0.520.0%1st Place
-
7.84George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
-
9.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.570.0%1st Place
-
9.88University of Rhode Island0.540.0%1st Place
-
3.98Stanford University2.580.2%1st Place
-
3.75Brown University2.630.2%1st Place
-
7.0Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
-
7.58University of South Florida1.320.0%1st Place
-
10.76Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
-
9.67Tulane University0.710.0%1st Place
-
13.19Princeton University-0.780.0%1st Place
-
8.82University of Hawaii0.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 22.2% | 19.4% | 16.4% | 13.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tavia Smith | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Brooke Barry | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Ella Beauregard | 1.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 7.6% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 1.7% |
| Ella Demand | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 6.2% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 7.5% |
| Sophie Fisher | 17.6% | 16.4% | 15.8% | 13.6% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Hamilton | 18.6% | 19.2% | 15.7% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Kalea Woodard | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 17.2% | 11.7% |
| Mira Herlihy | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 5.5% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 13.6% | 53.6% |
| Martha Schuessler | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.