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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.75+2.50vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College0.36+8.39vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.63+0.73vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.50+2.93vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.58-1.00vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34+1.46vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.57+2.83vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii0.90+0.89vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy0.52+1.04vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.22-2.14vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.54-1.00vs Predicted
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12Tulane University0.71-2.27vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.52-5.92vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.32-6.60vs Predicted
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15Princeton University-0.78-1.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.5Yale University2.750.2%1st Place
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10.39Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
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3.73Brown University2.630.2%1st Place
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6.93Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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4.0Stanford University2.580.2%1st Place
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7.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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9.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.570.0%1st Place
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8.89University of Hawaii0.900.0%1st Place
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10.04Maine Maritime Academy0.520.0%1st Place
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7.86George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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10.0University of Rhode Island0.540.0%1st Place
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9.73Tulane University0.710.0%1st Place
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7.08Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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7.4University of South Florida1.320.0%1st Place
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13.18Princeton University-0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 22.0% | 21.9% | 15.2% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 15.3% | 9.8% |
| Laura Hamilton | 20.7% | 15.5% | 17.6% | 13.7% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tavia Smith | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Sophie Fisher | 17.1% | 16.3% | 16.5% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Barry | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Ella Demand | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 7.1% |
| Martha Schuessler | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 3.2% |
| Ella Beauregard | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 14.2% | 6.3% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 9.4% |
| Mira Herlihy | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 5.4% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Kalea Woodard | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 55.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.