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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.52+5.78vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.75+1.50vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.58+0.91vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.57+5.85vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College0.36+5.46vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34+1.44vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.32+0.48vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.63-4.15vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy0.52+0.99vs Predicted
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10Tulane University0.71-0.45vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.50-4.07vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii0.90-2.91vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.54-2.83vs Predicted
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14Princeton University-0.78-0.77vs Predicted
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15George Washington University1.22-7.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.78Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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3.5Yale University2.750.2%1st Place
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3.91Stanford University2.580.2%1st Place
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9.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.570.0%1st Place
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10.46Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
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7.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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7.48University of South Florida1.320.1%1st Place
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3.85Brown University2.630.2%1st Place
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9.99Maine Maritime Academy0.520.0%1st Place
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9.55Tulane University0.710.0%1st Place
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6.93Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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9.09University of Hawaii0.900.0%1st Place
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10.17University of Rhode Island0.540.0%1st Place
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13.23Princeton University-0.780.0%1st Place
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7.77George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucia Loosbrock | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 21.7% | 20.1% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Fisher | 17.5% | 16.8% | 16.2% | 15.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ella Demand | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 7.4% |
| Lilly Saffer | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 17.1% | 10.2% |
| Brooke Barry | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Kalea Woodard | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Laura Hamilton | 20.3% | 15.6% | 17.6% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ella Beauregard | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 6.3% |
| Mira Herlihy | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 5.3% |
| Tavia Smith | 5.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Martha Schuessler | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 7.1% | 3.1% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 8.7% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 13.0% | 54.5% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.