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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.75+2.51vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.90+6.69vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.22+4.74vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.52+2.88vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.63-1.09vs Predicted
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6Tulane University0.71+3.53vs Predicted
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7Maine Maritime Academy0.52+2.99vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.32-0.51vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.50-2.14vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.58-6.04vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.36-0.50vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.54-1.77vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-5.37vs Predicted
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14Princeton University-0.78-0.77vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.57-5.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.51Yale University2.750.2%1st Place
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8.69University of Hawaii0.900.0%1st Place
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7.74George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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6.88Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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3.91Brown University2.630.2%1st Place
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9.53Tulane University0.710.0%1st Place
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9.99Maine Maritime Academy0.520.0%1st Place
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7.49University of South Florida1.320.1%1st Place
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6.86Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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3.96Stanford University2.580.2%1st Place
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10.5Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
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10.23University of Rhode Island0.540.0%1st Place
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7.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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13.23Princeton University-0.780.0%1st Place
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9.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 22.4% | 21.4% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Martha Schuessler | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 4.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Laura Hamilton | 18.7% | 15.4% | 17.4% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mira Herlihy | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 5.0% |
| Ella Beauregard | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 7.5% |
| Kalea Woodard | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Tavia Smith | 6.0% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Sophie Fisher | 17.4% | 16.6% | 16.8% | 13.8% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 16.7% | 11.3% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 13.8% | 14.5% | 7.0% |
| Brooke Barry | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 13.4% | 54.0% |
| Ella Demand | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 6.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.