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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.75+2.56vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.58+1.87vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.50+3.87vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.57+5.87vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.22+2.84vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College0.36+4.51vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34+0.38vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.52-1.11vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.63-5.21vs Predicted
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10Tulane University0.71-0.48vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.32-3.41vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii0.90-2.93vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy0.52-2.77vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.54-4.12vs Predicted
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15Princeton University-0.78-1.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.56Yale University2.750.2%1st Place
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3.87Stanford University2.580.2%1st Place
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6.87Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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9.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.570.0%1st Place
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7.84George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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10.51Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
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7.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.1%1st Place
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6.89Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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3.79Brown University2.630.2%1st Place
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9.52Tulane University0.710.0%1st Place
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7.59University of South Florida1.320.0%1st Place
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9.07University of Hawaii0.900.0%1st Place
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10.23Maine Maritime Academy0.520.0%1st Place
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9.88University of Rhode Island0.540.0%1st Place
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13.12Princeton University-0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 22.0% | 19.5% | 15.8% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Fisher | 19.0% | 18.3% | 14.3% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tavia Smith | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Ella Demand | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 7.3% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
| Lilly Saffer | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 15.4% | 10.3% |
| Brooke Barry | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Laura Hamilton | 18.1% | 17.8% | 17.5% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mira Herlihy | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 5.9% |
| Kalea Woodard | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| Martha Schuessler | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 2.6% |
| Ella Beauregard | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 10.0% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 6.2% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 53.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.