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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida0.45+5.34vs Predicted
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2University of Miami1.73+1.19vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida0.46+3.33vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University-0.33+4.50vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.94+0.59vs Predicted
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6Rollins College0.79-0.53vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida-0.58+2.17vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.55-4.51vs Predicted
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9Florida State University0.12-1.77vs Predicted
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10Rollins College-0.42-1.27vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College-0.19-2.80vs Predicted
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12Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.11-1.16vs Predicted
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13Florida Institute of Technology-0.55-3.94vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-2.46-1.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.34University of South Florida0.456.9%1st Place
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3.19University of Miami1.7325.9%1st Place
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6.33University of South Florida0.466.6%1st Place
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8.5Jacksonville University-0.333.4%1st Place
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5.59Jacksonville University0.948.8%1st Place
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5.47Rollins College0.799.3%1st Place
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9.17University of South Florida-0.582.1%1st Place
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3.49Jacksonville University1.5521.1%1st Place
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7.23Florida State University0.125.4%1st Place
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8.73Rollins College-0.422.8%1st Place
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8.2Eckerd College-0.192.8%1st Place
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10.84Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.111.7%1st Place
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9.06Florida Institute of Technology-0.552.9%1st Place
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12.87Embry-Riddle University-2.460.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sara Menesale | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Black | 25.9% | 20.6% | 15.2% | 13.3% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zach O'connor | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Cheyenne Dooley | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 2.2% |
| Darby Smith | 8.8% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Adelaide Matzky | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Esme Pray | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 15.3% | 13.2% | 3.4% |
| Grayson Tella | 21.1% | 18.7% | 18.1% | 13.0% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Eckert | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 0.5% |
| Noah Belson | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 3.1% |
| Anderson Osinski | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 6.4% | 1.5% |
| Nathan Hjort | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 14.8% | 26.5% | 16.6% |
| Samantha Covell | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 4.9% |
| Jess Dai | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 12.0% | 67.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.