Race 4A

north-points-3

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Patrick Soper 16.4% 15.2% 13.2% 15.6% 13.1% 11.0% 7.6% 5.2% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.1%
Andrew Cowley 6.2% 8.2% 7.8% 9.4% 11.0% 12.4% 12.6% 12.1% 10.9% 6.3% 2.6% 0.5%
Cody Shevitz 13.7% 11.7% 13.7% 11.4% 13.4% 13.3% 10.3% 6.9% 3.8% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Samuel Harrison 14.9% 15.2% 14.9% 13.1% 12.8% 10.1% 8.5% 6.4% 2.5% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Bradley Schoch 9.8% 10.2% 11.7% 11.3% 12.1% 11.5% 11.3% 9.3% 7.3% 3.4% 1.9% 0.2%
Eliza Richartz 21.9% 18.7% 15.5% 13.4% 12.2% 8.0% 5.2% 3.8% 1.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Gregory Hodges 2.2% 2.5% 2.6% 2.7% 3.0% 4.6% 9.1% 8.3% 14.4% 18.0% 16.5% 16.1%
Lauren Amery 3.3% 3.2% 3.2% 4.8% 4.5% 8.3% 7.4% 11.2% 15.6% 17.8% 13.8% 6.9%
Michael Lazzaro 7.7% 8.7% 11.2% 11.5% 10.9% 12.4% 12.5% 11.9% 8.5% 3.1% 1.4% 0.2%
Janet Rumsey 0.9% 2.4% 2.5% 2.7% 2.5% 2.1% 4.1% 8.6% 11.0% 16.0% 22.2% 25.0%
Christopher Hagerman 1.5% 1.1% 1.3% 1.1% 1.6% 2.9% 3.9% 6.0% 7.9% 14.8% 20.7% 37.2%
Ashley Eberhard 1.5% 2.9% 2.4% 3.0% 2.9% 3.4% 7.5% 10.3% 15.2% 17.2% 20.0% 13.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.