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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University0.09+2.45vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute0.40+0.85vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College0.56-0.39vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.52+0.26vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.37-1.04vs Predicted
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6Stevens Institute of Technology-1.08-0.96vs Predicted
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7Hamilton College-1.45-0.43vs Predicted
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8U. S. Military Academy-2.94-0.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.45Columbia University0.0915.8%1st Place
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2.85Webb Institute0.4023.9%1st Place
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2.61SUNY Maritime College0.5630.4%1st Place
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4.26SUNY Stony Brook-0.529.4%1st Place
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3.96U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.3711.7%1st Place
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5.04Stevens Institute of Technology-1.085.9%1st Place
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6.57Hamilton College-1.452.1%1st Place
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7.27U. S. Military Academy-2.940.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Sau Hang Ching | 15.8% | 18.9% | 17.0% | 18.9% | 15.8% | 10.3% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Aidan Woods | 23.9% | 22.9% | 20.9% | 16.1% | 10.0% | 5.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Cunha | 30.4% | 22.8% | 20.2% | 14.1% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Ella Musso | 9.4% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 17.1% | 19.1% | 19.4% | 9.1% | 1.1% |
| Carson Totino | 11.7% | 14.4% | 14.9% | 15.2% | 20.8% | 16.1% | 5.8% | 1.1% |
| Yang Yi Zheng | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 17.0% | 27.2% | 17.8% | 4.9% |
| Reid Chapman | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 11.7% | 41.3% | 29.0% |
| Sophie Fernandez | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 20.9% | 63.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.