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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ocean County College2.88+2.12vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania3.63+0.24vs Predicted
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3Drexel University1.52+2.11vs Predicted
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4Stevens Institute of Technology2.75-0.54vs Predicted
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5Princeton University2.90-1.81vs Predicted
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6Rutgers University1.95-1.44vs Predicted
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7Penn State University0.21-0.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.12Ocean County College2.880.2%1st Place
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2.24University of Pennsylvania3.630.4%1st Place
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5.11Drexel University1.520.0%1st Place
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3.46Stevens Institute of Technology2.750.1%1st Place
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3.19Princeton University2.900.2%1st Place
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4.56Rutgers University1.950.1%1st Place
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6.32Penn State University0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Kennedy | 20.0% | 19.8% | 19.5% | 19.3% | 13.1% | 7.1% | 1.2% |
| Halsey Richartz | 36.4% | 28.4% | 19.0% | 10.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Bergan | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 20.7% | 34.3% | 17.8% |
| Gerard Tonachel | 14.6% | 16.5% | 17.9% | 22.2% | 17.8% | 9.8% | 1.2% |
| Allison Tracy | 17.0% | 20.1% | 22.6% | 17.9% | 13.3% | 7.5% | 1.6% |
| Cassie Botti | 6.3% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 15.4% | 25.6% | 24.4% | 9.1% |
| Jarrett Scherrer | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 14.8% | 68.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.