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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.09+5.32vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.10+6.79vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.60+5.53vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+3.05vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+6.66vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.30-2.99vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.10+1.09vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.14+1.22vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii1.05+1.41vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.38-4.06vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91+0.63vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.51-2.86vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania1.77-6.67vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University0.97-3.70vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin0.70-2.98vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University-0.03-2.60vs Predicted
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17Fordham University0.71-4.35vs Predicted
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18University of Texas-1.43-1.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.32Boston College2.098.5%1st Place
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8.79Harvard University2.104.3%1st Place
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8.53University of South Florida1.605.1%1st Place
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7.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.777.0%1st Place
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11.66St. Mary's College of Maryland0.672.0%1st Place
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3.01Stanford University3.3029.2%1st Place
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8.09Dartmouth College2.105.9%1st Place
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9.22Boston University1.144.5%1st Place
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10.41University of Hawaii1.052.9%1st Place
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5.94Cornell University2.388.6%1st Place
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11.63Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.912.0%1st Place
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9.14Bowdoin College1.514.0%1st Place
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6.33University of Pennsylvania1.778.4%1st Place
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10.3Old Dominion University0.972.7%1st Place
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12.02University of Wisconsin0.701.8%1st Place
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13.4North Carolina State University-0.031.2%1st Place
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12.65Fordham University0.711.4%1st Place
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16.52University of Texas-1.430.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Sibilly | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Cordelia Burn | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 3.8% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 29.2% | 21.1% | 17.9% | 11.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Young | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| Bridget Green | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 3.2% |
| Kyra Phelan | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Sofia Segalla | 8.4% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gianna Dewey | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 1.0% |
| Mary Castellini | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 4.8% |
| Annika Milstien | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 20.8% | 10.3% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 15.4% | 8.1% |
| Sophia Herrada | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 11.3% | 64.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.