← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bowdoin College2.58+10.00vs Predicted
-
2Yale University3.74+4.13vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University2.98+6.34vs Predicted
-
4Georgetown University3.28+3.78vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College3.18+3.18vs Predicted
-
6University of Vermont2.86+3.60vs Predicted
-
7Boston College2.97+2.08vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Naval Academy3.74-2.05vs Predicted
-
9Brown University3.01-0.02vs Predicted
-
10Roger Williams University2.71+0.58vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-1.00vs Predicted
-
12University of Rhode Island1.97+1.49vs Predicted
-
13Harvard University2.53-2.17vs Predicted
-
14University of South Florida2.90-4.86vs Predicted
-
15Connecticut College3.33-7.46vs Predicted
-
16Boston University2.21-3.60vs Predicted
-
17Cornell University2.85-7.24vs Predicted
-
18Columbia University2.43-6.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
11.0Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
-
6.13Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
-
9.34Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
-
7.78Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
-
8.18Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
-
9.6University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
-
9.08Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
-
5.95U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
-
8.98Brown University3.010.0%1st Place
-
10.58Roger Williams University2.710.1%1st Place
-
10.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
-
13.49University of Rhode Island1.970.0%1st Place
-
10.83Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
-
9.14University of South Florida2.900.1%1st Place
-
7.54Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
-
12.4Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
-
9.76Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
-
11.24Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.8% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.2% |
| Marlena Fauer | 9.5% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Mariel Marchand | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.3% |
| Nancy Hagood | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 4.9% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.4% |
| Mary Hall | 12.2% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.0% |
| Annie Schmidt | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 5.0% |
| Chloe Lepert | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.3% |
| Kaitlyn Norton | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 27.9% |
| Caitlin Watson | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% |
| Dominique Wright | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Erica Lush | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 16.8% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.5% |
| Irene Jacqz | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.