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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College1.09+2.05vs Predicted
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2University of Texas1.01+1.24vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.15+2.42vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.10-1.07vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.82+1.40vs Predicted
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6Bates College0.72-2.34vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University-0.79-0.77vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-0.93-1.71vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-1.83-1.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.05Connecticut College1.0922.5%1st Place
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3.24University of Texas1.0120.4%1st Place
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5.42Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.156.6%1st Place
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2.93University of Rhode Island1.1023.4%1st Place
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6.4University of New Hampshire-0.823.5%1st Place
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3.66Bates College0.7215.8%1st Place
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6.23Salve Regina University-0.793.2%1st Place
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6.29University of New Hampshire-0.933.8%1st Place
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7.8University of New Hampshire-1.830.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Craine | 22.5% | 22.4% | 17.7% | 15.8% | 12.0% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Matias Martin | 20.4% | 18.9% | 19.8% | 16.2% | 12.3% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| John Divelbiss | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 16.6% | 18.4% | 16.2% | 13.0% | 5.5% |
| Sam Ingalls | 23.4% | 22.7% | 21.5% | 14.3% | 10.1% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jake Lacoche | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 14.4% | 18.9% | 22.4% | 15.6% |
| Jett Lindelof | 15.8% | 16.1% | 16.4% | 18.4% | 15.7% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Sean Morrison | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 15.6% | 20.3% | 20.5% | 12.4% |
| Lucas Wiatrowski | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 15.6% | 19.2% | 21.3% | 14.0% |
| Cameron McLean | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 11.8% | 18.7% | 51.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.