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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.63+2.81vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.75+1.46vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.58+0.89vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.52+2.84vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.57+4.86vs Predicted
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6Tulane University0.71+3.50vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.22+0.76vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.50-0.98vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii0.90-0.20vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-2.50vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.54-0.98vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.32-4.26vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy0.52-2.78vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.36-3.54vs Predicted
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15Princeton University-0.78-1.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.81Brown University2.630.2%1st Place
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3.46Yale University2.750.2%1st Place
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3.89Stanford University2.580.2%1st Place
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6.84Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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9.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.570.0%1st Place
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9.5Tulane University0.710.0%1st Place
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7.76George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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7.02Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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8.8University of Hawaii0.900.0%1st Place
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7.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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10.02University of Rhode Island0.540.0%1st Place
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7.74University of South Florida1.320.0%1st Place
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10.22Maine Maritime Academy0.520.0%1st Place
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10.46Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
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13.13Princeton University-0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Hamilton | 20.2% | 16.6% | 16.7% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Carmen Cowles | 22.3% | 22.3% | 15.1% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Fisher | 19.1% | 15.8% | 16.7% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Ella Demand | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 6.3% |
| Mira Herlihy | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 9.3% | 4.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| Tavia Smith | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Martha Schuessler | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 2.2% |
| Brooke Barry | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 10.0% |
| Kalea Woodard | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Ella Beauregard | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 9.9% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 16.8% | 9.8% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 14.1% | 53.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.