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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University0.74+6.05vs Predicted
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2Yale University1.90+1.68vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.28+2.33vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.14+5.04vs Predicted
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51.06+1.21vs Predicted
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6George Washington University0.23+2.86vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii0.40+1.17vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.12+1.17vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.89-2.39vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.15-4.10vs Predicted
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11Stanford University1.13-4.97vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College-0.81+0.02vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy-0.36-2.23vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53-6.22vs Predicted
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15Princeton University-1.65-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.05Roger Williams University0.740.1%1st Place
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3.68Yale University1.900.2%1st Place
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5.33Brown University1.280.1%1st Place
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9.04University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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6.211.060.1%1st Place
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8.86George Washington University0.230.0%1st Place
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8.17University of Hawaii0.400.1%1st Place
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9.17Northeastern University0.120.0%1st Place
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6.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.890.1%1st Place
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5.9University of South Florida1.150.1%1st Place
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6.03Stanford University1.130.1%1st Place
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12.02Connecticut College-0.810.0%1st Place
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10.77Maine Maritime Academy-0.360.0%1st Place
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7.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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13.39Princeton University-1.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine McGagh | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% |
| Audrey Foley | 23.0% | 17.6% | 15.4% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sidney Moyer | 10.5% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 4.1% |
| Lola Kohl | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Hayden Clary | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 2.3% |
| Malia Johnson | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 1.2% |
| Sylvia Burns | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 8.2% | 3.5% |
| Sophia Woodbury | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Grace Jones | 9.4% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Ava Cornell | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Viola Henry | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 15.1% | 26.2% | 20.2% |
| Simone Ford | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 12.4% | 15.7% | 15.8% | 12.3% |
| Meara Conley | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Kate Feiner | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 19.1% | 53.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.