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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.90+2.74vs Predicted
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21.06+3.97vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.14+5.96vs Predicted
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4George Washington University0.23+4.77vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.89+1.71vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.12+3.19vs Predicted
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7Stanford University1.13-1.12vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii0.40+0.28vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University0.74-1.96vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53-2.05vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.28-5.51vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.15-5.95vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy-0.36-2.24vs Predicted
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14Princeton University-1.65-0.53vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College-0.81-3.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.74Yale University1.900.2%1st Place
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5.971.060.1%1st Place
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8.96University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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8.77George Washington University0.230.0%1st Place
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6.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.890.1%1st Place
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9.19Northeastern University0.120.0%1st Place
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5.88Stanford University1.130.1%1st Place
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8.28University of Hawaii0.400.0%1st Place
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7.04Roger Williams University0.740.1%1st Place
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7.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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5.49Brown University1.280.1%1st Place
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6.05University of South Florida1.150.1%1st Place
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10.76Maine Maritime Academy-0.360.0%1st Place
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13.47Princeton University-1.650.0%1st Place
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11.74Connecticut College-0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Audrey Foley | 23.2% | 18.6% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lola Kohl | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 2.5% |
| Hayden Clary | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 2.6% |
| Sophia Woodbury | 7.8% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Sylvia Burns | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 3.3% |
| Ava Cornell | 10.9% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Malia Johnson | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 1.4% |
| Katherine McGagh | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Meara Conley | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Sidney Moyer | 10.7% | 13.9% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Grace Jones | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Simone Ford | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 15.4% | 18.6% | 10.9% |
| Kate Feiner | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 8.3% | 16.8% | 56.0% |
| Viola Henry | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 24.8% | 20.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.