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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.90+2.76vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.15+3.64vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.14+5.98vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University0.12+5.14vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53+2.88vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.89+0.68vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-1.65+6.35vs Predicted
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81.06-1.88vs Predicted
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9George Washington University0.23-0.26vs Predicted
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10Maine Maritime Academy-0.36+0.71vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University0.74-3.82vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College-0.81+0.02vs Predicted
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13Stanford University1.13-6.85vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii0.40-5.78vs Predicted
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15Brown University1.28-9.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.76Yale University1.900.2%1st Place
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5.64University of South Florida1.150.1%1st Place
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8.98University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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9.14Northeastern University0.120.0%1st Place
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7.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.1%1st Place
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6.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.890.1%1st Place
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13.35Princeton University-1.650.0%1st Place
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6.121.060.1%1st Place
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8.74George Washington University0.230.0%1st Place
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10.71Maine Maritime Academy-0.360.0%1st Place
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7.18Roger Williams University0.740.1%1st Place
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12.02Connecticut College-0.810.0%1st Place
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6.15Stanford University1.130.1%1st Place
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8.22University of Hawaii0.400.0%1st Place
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5.43Brown University1.280.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Audrey Foley | 22.1% | 18.5% | 16.1% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Jones | 10.1% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 2.6% |
| Sylvia Burns | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 3.1% |
| Meara Conley | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Sophia Woodbury | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Kate Feiner | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 7.6% | 16.5% | 56.2% |
| Lola Kohl | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Clary | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 2.1% |
| Simone Ford | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 16.0% | 17.0% | 9.7% |
| Katherine McGagh | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 0.3% |
| Viola Henry | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 14.1% | 24.4% | 22.4% |
| Ava Cornell | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Malia Johnson | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 1.9% |
| Sidney Moyer | 11.8% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.