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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.90+2.78vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.89+4.49vs Predicted
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3George Washington University0.23+5.75vs Predicted
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41.06+2.09vs Predicted
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5Stanford University1.13+0.96vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.14+3.12vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.12+2.03vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.15-2.07vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University0.74-1.95vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.28-4.49vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College-0.81+0.80vs Predicted
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12Princeton University-1.65+1.65vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii0.40-4.51vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy-0.36-3.44vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53-7.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.78Yale University1.900.2%1st Place
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6.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.890.1%1st Place
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8.75George Washington University0.230.0%1st Place
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6.091.060.1%1st Place
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5.96Stanford University1.130.1%1st Place
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9.12University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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9.03Northeastern University0.120.0%1st Place
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5.93University of South Florida1.150.1%1st Place
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7.05Roger Williams University0.740.1%1st Place
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5.51Brown University1.280.1%1st Place
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11.8Connecticut College-0.810.0%1st Place
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13.65Princeton University-1.650.0%1st Place
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8.49University of Hawaii0.400.0%1st Place
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10.56Maine Maritime Academy-0.360.0%1st Place
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7.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Audrey Foley | 20.6% | 21.8% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Woodbury | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Hayden Clary | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 1.6% |
| Lola Kohl | 9.5% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ava Cornell | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 2.9% |
| Sylvia Burns | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 3.2% |
| Grace Jones | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Katherine McGagh | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Sidney Moyer | 10.3% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Viola Henry | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 12.6% | 25.9% | 20.4% |
| Kate Feiner | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 7.1% | 16.5% | 59.6% |
| Malia Johnson | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 1.8% |
| Simone Ford | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 16.5% | 17.4% | 8.4% |
| Meara Conley | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.