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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.28+4.36vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University0.12+7.01vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.90+0.71vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.89+2.62vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University0.74+2.17vs Predicted
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61.06+0.15vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College-0.81+4.74vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii0.40+0.22vs Predicted
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9Stanford University1.13-3.17vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53-2.05vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.14-1.87vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.15-5.95vs Predicted
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13George Washington University0.23-4.01vs Predicted
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14Princeton University-1.65-0.52vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy-0.36-4.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.36Brown University1.280.1%1st Place
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9.01Northeastern University0.120.0%1st Place
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3.71Yale University1.900.2%1st Place
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6.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.890.1%1st Place
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7.17Roger Williams University0.740.1%1st Place
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6.151.060.1%1st Place
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11.74Connecticut College-0.810.0%1st Place
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8.22University of Hawaii0.400.1%1st Place
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5.83Stanford University1.130.1%1st Place
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7.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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9.13University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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6.05University of South Florida1.150.1%1st Place
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8.99George Washington University0.230.0%1st Place
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13.48Princeton University-1.650.0%1st Place
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10.6Maine Maritime Academy-0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sidney Moyer | 12.3% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Sylvia Burns | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 3.0% |
| Audrey Foley | 21.3% | 18.7% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Woodbury | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McGagh | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Lola Kohl | 8.7% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Viola Henry | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 10.1% | 14.2% | 22.3% | 21.6% |
| Malia Johnson | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Ava Cornell | 8.8% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Meara Conley | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 3.0% |
| Grace Jones | 9.1% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Hayden Clary | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 2.6% |
| Kate Feiner | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 16.8% | 55.8% |
| Simone Ford | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 15.6% | 18.0% | 9.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.