← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University1.90+2.72vs Predicted
-
2George Washington University0.23+6.65vs Predicted
-
3Brown University1.28+2.31vs Predicted
-
4University of South Florida1.15+1.85vs Predicted
-
51.06+1.22vs Predicted
-
6University of Rhode Island0.14+3.15vs Predicted
-
7Stanford University1.13-1.13vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53-0.14vs Predicted
-
9Roger Williams University0.74-1.93vs Predicted
-
10Northeastern University0.12-0.77vs Predicted
-
11Connecticut College-0.81+0.83vs Predicted
-
12University of Hawaii0.40-3.56vs Predicted
-
13Maine Maritime Academy-0.36-2.22vs Predicted
-
14Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.89-7.41vs Predicted
-
15Princeton University-1.65-1.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.72Yale University1.900.2%1st Place
-
8.65George Washington University0.230.0%1st Place
-
5.31Brown University1.280.1%1st Place
-
5.85University of South Florida1.150.1%1st Place
-
6.221.060.1%1st Place
-
9.15University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
-
5.87Stanford University1.130.1%1st Place
-
7.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.1%1st Place
-
7.07Roger Williams University0.740.1%1st Place
-
9.23Northeastern University0.120.0%1st Place
-
11.83Connecticut College-0.810.0%1st Place
-
8.44University of Hawaii0.400.0%1st Place
-
10.78Maine Maritime Academy-0.360.0%1st Place
-
6.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.890.1%1st Place
-
13.42Princeton University-1.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Audrey Foley | 22.4% | 20.4% | 14.1% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Clary | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 2.0% |
| Sidney Moyer | 11.7% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Jones | 9.4% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Lola Kohl | 8.4% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 2.5% |
| Ava Cornell | 10.9% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Meara Conley | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 1.2% |
| Katherine McGagh | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Sylvia Burns | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 3.3% |
| Viola Henry | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 24.1% | 22.1% |
| Malia Johnson | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 1.0% |
| Simone Ford | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 16.4% | 17.7% | 10.6% |
| Sophia Woodbury | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Kate Feiner | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 7.8% | 16.5% | 56.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.