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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin4.10+7.03vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.98+6.46vs Predicted
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3Washington College3.65+6.93vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+4.47vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.62+4.75vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.47+4.48vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46+3.46vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University4.51-1.89vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-0.26vs Predicted
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10Cornell University3.27+1.59vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.73+2.43vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston4.00-3.42vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University4.01-4.97vs Predicted
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14Yale University4.55-8.13vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College4.15-7.41vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont3.33-4.94vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College3.55-6.80vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College2.43-3.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.03University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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8.46Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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9.93Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
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8.47St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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9.75Dartmouth College3.620.0%1st Place
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10.48Roger Williams University3.470.0%1st Place
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10.46U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.0%1st Place
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6.11Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
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8.74Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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11.59Cornell University3.270.0%1st Place
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13.43Fordham University2.730.0%1st Place
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8.58College of Charleston4.000.1%1st Place
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8.03Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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5.87Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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7.59SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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11.06University of Vermont3.330.0%1st Place
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10.2Connecticut College3.550.0%1st Place
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14.19Eckerd College2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Colin Smith | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Michael Whitford | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 2.8% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Bernie Roesler | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% |
| Connor Needham | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% |
| Daniel Liberty | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% |
| Sydney Bolger | 11.4% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Austen Anderson | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Philip Alley | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 8.6% |
| Alexander Sachs | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 14.9% | 23.4% |
| Samuel Stokes | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Dillon Paiva | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Graham Landy | 12.0% | 13.3% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% |
| Shawn Murray | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Joseph Kelleher | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.6% |
| IG Schottlaender | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 3.9% |
| Walker Banks | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 13.8% | 32.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.