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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College1.09+1.98vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.15+3.30vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.10-0.07vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-0.82+2.43vs Predicted
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5Bates College0.72-1.31vs Predicted
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6University of Texas1.01-2.78vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-1.83+0.84vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University-0.79-1.73vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-0.93-2.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.98Connecticut College1.0923.2%1st Place
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5.3Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.156.1%1st Place
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2.93University of Rhode Island1.1024.6%1st Place
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6.43University of New Hampshire-0.822.8%1st Place
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3.69Bates College0.7215.3%1st Place
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3.22University of Texas1.0120.5%1st Place
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7.84University of New Hampshire-1.831.1%1st Place
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6.27Salve Regina University-0.793.4%1st Place
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6.35University of New Hampshire-0.933.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Craine | 23.2% | 22.2% | 20.2% | 14.9% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| John Divelbiss | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 15.8% | 17.0% | 16.3% | 13.2% | 4.0% |
| Sam Ingalls | 24.6% | 21.9% | 19.2% | 15.8% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jake Lacoche | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 10.2% | 15.4% | 19.1% | 22.9% | 14.8% |
| Jett Lindelof | 15.3% | 15.7% | 17.4% | 17.8% | 15.3% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Matias Martin | 20.5% | 19.3% | 19.1% | 16.6% | 13.2% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Cameron McLean | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 11.0% | 17.1% | 54.4% |
| Sean Morrison | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 11.4% | 16.9% | 18.9% | 19.9% | 13.6% |
| Lucas Wiatrowski | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 14.1% | 20.7% | 23.1% | 13.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.