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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.90+2.70vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.89+4.53vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.15+2.75vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University0.74+3.12vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.28+0.51vs Predicted
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6Stanford University1.13-0.12vs Predicted
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7George Washington University0.23+1.73vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.14+1.12vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.12+0.13vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii0.40-1.64vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53-3.13vs Predicted
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121.06-5.71vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy-0.36-2.18vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College-0.81-2.21vs Predicted
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15Princeton University-1.65-1.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.7Yale University1.900.2%1st Place
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6.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.890.1%1st Place
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5.75University of South Florida1.150.1%1st Place
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7.12Roger Williams University0.740.1%1st Place
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5.51Brown University1.280.1%1st Place
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5.88Stanford University1.130.1%1st Place
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8.73George Washington University0.230.0%1st Place
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9.12University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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9.13Northeastern University0.120.0%1st Place
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8.36University of Hawaii0.400.0%1st Place
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7.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.1%1st Place
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6.291.060.1%1st Place
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10.82Maine Maritime Academy-0.360.0%1st Place
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11.79Connecticut College-0.810.0%1st Place
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13.41Princeton University-1.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Audrey Foley | 23.2% | 19.8% | 14.3% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Woodbury | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Grace Jones | 11.1% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Katherine McGagh | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Sidney Moyer | 11.3% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ava Cornell | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Clary | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 2.6% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 8.1% | 3.5% |
| Sylvia Burns | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 2.7% |
| Malia Johnson | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 1.7% |
| Meara Conley | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 1.6% |
| Lola Kohl | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Simone Ford | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 12.9% | 15.4% | 19.4% | 10.2% |
| Viola Henry | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 23.9% | 20.4% |
| Kate Feiner | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 16.6% | 55.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.